8th Windstorm workshop programme
View all session and poster abstracts here
Monday 28th October:
13:00-14:00: Welcome Lunch and registration
14:00-14:15: Opening remarks
Session 1: Climate change, variability and potential impacts on Europe’s resiliency to windstorms
Session Chair: Gregor C. Leckebusch
14:15-14:35: Invited Talk, Irina Rudeva: Synoptic activity during amplified mid-latitude planetary waves.
14:35-14:55: Oliver Krueger: Reconstructions of Northeast Atlantic and German Bight storm activity from the late 19th century onwards
14:55-15:15: Michael Angus: The impact of the Atlantic Hurricane season on the subsequent European Windstorm Season
15:15-15:35: Afternoon refreshment break
15:35-15:55: Lisa Degenhardt: The role of upper vs. lower tropospheric baroclinicity on severe storms over Central Europe and Iceland: observational results and climate scenarios
15:55-16:15: Colin Manning: Assessing the added value of convection permitting climate simulations for the representation of sting-jets and associated extreme wind speeds in European wind storms
16:15-17:00: Poster Highlights, short (2-3 minute) talks by each poster presenter.
Session Chair: Michael Angus.
17:00-18:00: Icebreaker at venue with refreshments
Tuesday 29th October:
Session 2: Industry applications and storm quantification: alternative views on risk
Session Chair: Christoph Raible
9:00-9:20: Invited Talk, Len Shaffrey: Historical extreme storms as a tool for understanding risk
9:20-9:40: Julia Lockwood: Using PRIMAVERA high-resolution global climate models to make a European windstorm event set
9:40-10:00: Chris Webber: Sensitivities of European Extratropical Cyclone Insured Losses to the North Atlantic Oscillation
10:00-10:20: Richard Dixon: Insurance industry losses from 6000 years of windstorms in a high resolution ensemble climate model
10:20-10:40: Morning refreshment break
Session 3: Industry applications and storm quantification: climate services perspective
Session Chair: Geovanni Leoncini
10:40-11:00: Invited Talk, Bernd Eggen: What the Copernicus Climate Change Service Evaluation and Quality Control Framework Can Do for the Insurance Community
11:00-11:20: Alan Whitelaw: Copernicus Climate Change Service Operational Windstorm Service - Update and Way Forward
11:20-11:40: Bernd Becker: Generation of stochastic winter wind storm events in Europe based on the last generation of dynamical and statistical methods. An AXA joint research initiative.
11:40 -12:00: Laura Dawkins: A comparison of approaches for representing windstorm footprints using observations and meteorological models, and the impact on insurance loss estimation: A joint research initiative, Met Office and AXA
12:00-13:00: Lunch in the restaurant
13:00-14:30: Poster session
Session Chair: Michael Angus
- Laura Batchelor: Co-occurrence of extreme precipitation and wind associated with extratropical cyclones over Europe
- Richard Dixon: European Windstorm Research Priorities for the Insurance Industry: 2019 Revisit
- Emanuele Silvio Gentile: The impact of atmosphere, ocean and waves coupling on extreme surface wind forecast
- Hilde Haakenstad: NORA3 - a non-hydrostatic regional hindcast for the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea
- John Hillier: Observations Relating Extreme Multi-Basin River Flows to Very Severe Gales
- Matthew Priestley: The Northern Hemisphere storm track and bomb cyclone representation in CMIP6
- Len Shaffrey: The WINDSURFER project: Past, current and future European wind and wave risk
- Linda Van Garderen: A Spectrally Nudged Global Storyline: Attributing the Effect of Climate Change in Historical Extreme Events.
- Alexander Vessey: Arctic Storm Characteristics between Storm Tracking Algorithms and their Structure
- Michael Walz: How much flavour can climate model data add to benchmarking a 200-year return period European winter storm event?
- Kirien Whan: Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using parametric and non-parametric statistical post-processing methods
- Xiaoyu Xiong: Data fusion with Gaussian processes for estimation of environmental hazard events
Session 4: Flooding and wind extremes from a dynamical perspective
Session Chair: Suzanne Grey
14:30-14:50: Invited Talk, Jennifer Catto: The role of cyclones, fronts and thunderstorms in compound precipitation, wind, and wave extremes
14:50-15:10: Florian Pantillion: Dynamics of sting-jet storm "Egon" over continental Europe: impact of surface properties and model resolution
15:10-15:30: Margardia Liberato: Wind and precipitation extremes on the Iberian Peninsula and associated cyclones
15:30-15:50: Afternoon refreshments break
15:50-16:10: Frauke Feser: North Atlantic winter storm activity in modern reanalyses and pressure-based observations
16:10-16:30: Christian Passow: Feature-based classification of European windstorms
16:30-16:50: Oliver Halliday: Understanding the risk from correlated windstorms and floods in the UK
19:00: Conference Dinner, Cuore at the Green Heart on University of Birmingham campus
Wednesday 30th October:
Session 5: Predicting windstorms: weather forecasting and seasonal to decadal prediction
Session Chair: Frauke Feser
8:30-8:50: Invited Talk, Oscar Martinez-Alvardo: A prototype real-time sting jet precursor tool for forecasters
8:50-9:10: Hilke Lentink: The impact of 1-way and 2-way nesting on the simulation of European windstorms
9:10-9:30: Gregor C. Leckebusch: Seasonal Forecasting of European Windstorms and robust estimation of loss potentials.
9:30-9:50: Florian Pantillion: Gust formation during a windstorm in the light of Doppler lidar observations and large-eddy simulations
9:50-10:10: Morning refreshment break
10:10-11:30: Breakout Sessions
Session 1: Convened by Richard Dixon: "Building sustained industry-academic partnerships through novel techniques in windstorm impact assessment"
Session 2: Convened by Gregor C. Leckebusch, Len Shaffrey and Michael Angus: “How to better communicate the community's European Windstorm research and impact to a wider audience"?
Session 3: Open for conference discussion
11:30-12:00: Breakout session wrap up and general discussion on format for next year
12.00: Close